CBP and DHS statistics show Southwest border encounters (the standard measure for attempted illegal crossings) plummeted to historic lows:
Fiscal Year 2025 (
Oct 2024–Sep 2025, covering most of Trump’s first year): ~237,000–238,000 total Southwest border encounters/apprehensions —
the lowest since 1970. This is down dramatically from 1.5+ million in FY2024 and over 2 million in peak Biden years.
Monthly averages under Trump (post-January 2025): Often under 10,000 Border Patrol apprehensions per month, with many months in the 6,000–9,000 range. Daily averages dropped to ~200–300, compared to thousands per day previously.
Reductions of 85–95%+ compared to late Biden administration peaks (e.g., Dec 2023 highs over 300,000 encounters). By late 2025 into 2026, encounters remained at record lows,
with some months seeing the lowest starts to a fiscal year in history.
Gotaways (those detected but who evaded capture) also fell sharply — e.g., ~70,000–73,000 in FY2025 versus hundreds of thousands earlier.
Zero releases into the U.S. interior for many consecutive months — a major policy shift from prior practices.
Net migration turned negative in 2025 for the first time in decades, with DHS reporting 2.5+ million illegal aliens leaving (deportations + self-deportations).
Some analysts (e.g., Cato) note legal immigration cuts were even larger in absolute terms, but illegal border attempts still dropped substantially.
Keep movin', movin', movin'
Though they're disapproving
Keep them doggies movin'
Rawhide
Don't try to understand 'em
Just rope and throw and brand 'em
Rawhide
